Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Brazzaville, clayDate: 5 May 2026, Tuesday
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Ivan Marrero Curbelo |
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Mathys Erhard |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.8 |
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1.38 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.8 ↑ (2.54) |
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1.38 ↓ (1.45) |
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- The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Ivan Marrero Curbelo 33% | Mathys Erhard 67% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ivan Marrero Curbelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Mathys Erhard has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ivan Marrero Curbelo than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathys Erhard than the current prediction. (+1.7%) 
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Preview
Marrero Curbelo is ranked ATP: 481. Erhard is ranked ATP: 397.Marrero Curbelo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).Erhard is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).Erhard may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, Erhard is seen as the favorite.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Marrero Curbelo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| ATP Challenger | | | 09.02.25 | Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2:1 | | ITF Tournaments | | | 10.07.24 | Mathys Erhard - Ivan Marrero Curbelo | 2:0 |
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