Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: SOFIA (BULGARIA), HARD (INDOOR) - FINAL

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 1, Voyo
France	beIN Sports Max
Portugal	Sport TV5
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Jack Draper		Adrian Mannarino

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.48	2.65
	1.48	2.7
	1.49	2.82
	1.49	2.82
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.47	2.69	Watch
	1.49	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.59)	2.74 ↑ (2.39)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jack Draper
65%

Adrian Mannarino
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.3%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jack Draper has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Adrian Mannarino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jack Draper than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Adrian Mannarino than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
84.6%	0%	15.4%

Jack Draper - Adrian Mannarino Predictions

Users Predictions: Jack Draper will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Draper in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Mannarino is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mannarino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Draper will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Draper to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jack Draper
ATP Sofia
10.11.23	Jack Draper - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
09.11.23	Jack Draper - Cem Ilkel	2:0 ✺
08.11.23	Lorenzo Musetti - Jack Draper	0:2 ✺
07.11.23	Jack Draper - Maximilian Marterer	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.11.23	Jack Draper - David Goffin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WWWWW
- Adrian Mannarino
ATP Sofia
10.11.23	Pavel Kotov - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
09.11.23	Sebastian Ofner - Adrian Mannarino	1:2 ✺
08.11.23	Albert Ramos-Vinolas - Adrian Mannarino	0:2 ✺
ATP Paris
30.10.23	Botic Van De Zandschulp - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
ATP Basel
24.10.23	Nicolas Jarry - Adrian Mannarino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WWWLL

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