Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Vienna, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 October 2026, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Vienna 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Karen Khachanov		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	4.50	1.20	Watch
	4.50	1.19
	4.60	1.20	Watch
	4.27	1.2	Watch
	4.60	1.21
	4.54	1.21	Watch
	4.40	1.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.49 ↓ (5.08)	1.2 ↑ (1.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
21.1%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
78.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

18.8%

81.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24., and Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3..

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 0.

Khachanov has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Khachanov may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Alcaraz Garfia is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Khachanov has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:13 (averaging 0.3:2.2 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Almaty
23.10.26	Alexander Bublik - Karen Khachanov	2:1 ✺
22.10.26	Tomas Machac - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
20.10.26	Rei Sakamoto - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
13.10.26	Alex De Minaur - Karen Khachanov	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Karen Khachanov - Adrian Mannarino	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWWLW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Shanghai
12.10.26	Zizou Bergs - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	2:0 ✺
10.10.26	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jaume Munar	2:1 ✺
04.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Denis Shapovalov	Shapovalov D. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Doha
19.02.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:1
ATP Roma
13.05.25	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2
ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Madrid
03.05.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Hamburg
22.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Vienna
30.10.26	Tommy Paul - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	✺

Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia