Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 13 May 2025, Tuesday


	Karen Khachanov		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	8	1.08	Watch
	6.5	1.1	Watch
	7.75	1.07	Watch
	9.86	1.07
	7.34	1.09	Watch
	6.5	1.11	Watch
	7.63	1.09	Watch
	7.75	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.67 ↑ (5.51)	1.09 ↓ (1.14)

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karen Khachanov
12.4%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
87.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.2%

82.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Karen Khachanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
6.2%	0%	93.7%

Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Khachanov will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 15 - 93.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 82% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Khachanov (3.11) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Carlos Alcaraz Garfia will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Khachanov (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Khachanov is ranked ATP: 24. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Khachanov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the clear favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Khachanov won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 0:9. (average 0:2.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karen Khachanov
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Francesco Passaro - Karen Khachanov	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Roman Andres Burruchaga - Karen Khachanov	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Tommy Paul	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Reilly Opelka	2:0 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WWLWL
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Laslo Djere - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Gabriel Diallo - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	Canceled
ATP Barcelona
20.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WW?LW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Beijing
30.09.24	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Madrid
03.05.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Hamburg
22.07.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Karen Khachanov	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.22	Karen Khachanov - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3

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