Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Barcelona, clay - Final

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	Eurosport 2
Hungary	Match 4
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Portugal	Sport TV7
Sweden	TV4 Play
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune

	1	2
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.2	4.6	Watch
	1.2	4.4	Watch
	1.2	5.24
	1.23	4.32	Watch
	1.2	4.5	Watch
	1.21	4.47	Watch
	1.2	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.21)	4.55 ↑ (4.43)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
79.1%

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.5%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.1%	0%	25.9%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%). Rune will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alcaraz Garfia: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 7 - 70%). Rune (votes: 3 - 30%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Rune (2.15) (votes: 3 - 60%) .

AH -1 Sets - Alcaraz Garfia (1.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Rune (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 9.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Rune (votes: 7 - 41.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 2. Rune is ranked ATP: 13.

During last matches two players got success in matches and won.

Rune could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Alcaraz Garfia is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alcaraz Garfia won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:0 (average 1.6:0).

Last Results with these Odds

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - the odds 1.21 are the expected chance of winning is 78.51%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Barcelona
19.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Fils	2:0 ✺
18.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Laslo Djere	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Ethan Quinn	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
13.04.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW
- Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune
ATP Barcelona
19.04.25	Karen Khachanov - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	0:2 ✺
18.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
16.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Sebastian Baez	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Albert Ramos-Vinolas	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
08.04.25	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Nuno Borges	Rune H. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WWWW?

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
16.10.24	Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
12.07.23	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:0
ATP Paris
04.11.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Alcaraz C. retired
ATP Astana
04.10.22	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	Canceled
ATP Next Gen Finals
09.11.21	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune	3:0

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