Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: London, grass - 1/16-finals

Date: 16 June 2025, Monday


	Jacob Fearnley		Alex Bolt

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.42	2.85	Watch
			Watch
	1.43	3.03
			Watch
	1.4	2.9	Watch
	1.42	2.89	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	2.93 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacob Fearnley
67.5%

Alex Bolt
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.2%

31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Alex Bolt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alex Bolt than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jacob Fearnley - Alex Bolt Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Fearnley will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). Bolt will win (votes: 12 - 85.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bolt: 67.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 Games - Fearnley (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Bolt (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex Bolt will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fearnley (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Bolt (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fearnley is ranked ATP: 49. Bolt is ranked ATP: 186.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Bolt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fearnley is the team to beat.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Stuttgart
09.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
31.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Jacob Fearnley	3:0 ✺
29.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
26.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LL?WL
- Alex Bolt
ATP London
15.06.25	Alex Bolt - Christopher OConnell	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Alex Bolt - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.06.25	Alex Bolt - Zachary Svajda	1:2 ✺
06.06.25	Rinky Hijikata - Alex Bolt	2:0 ✺
04.06.25	Li Tu - Alex Bolt	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLLW

Jacob Fearnley - Alex Bolt: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide