Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 21 May 2025, Wednesday


	Alexei Popyrin		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.91	1.85	Watch
	1.89	1.88	Watch
	1.94	1.96
	1.88	1.88	Watch
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9	Watch
	1.89	1.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.05)	1.9 ↑ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alexei Popyrin
49.9%

Jacob Fearnley
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.3%

53.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alexei Popyrin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexei Popyrin than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
5.3%	0%	94.7%

Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Jacob Fearnley will win (18 of 19 users predict this - 94.74%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jacob Fearnley will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Popyrin is ranked ATP: 25. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 54.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alexei Popyrin
ATP Geneva
18.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Nicolas Jarry	2:1 ✺
ATP Roma
11.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Carlos Taberner	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
01.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Stanislas Wawrinka	1:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.25	Alexei Popyrin - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 WLWLL
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Geneva
19.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini	2:0 ✺
ATP Madrid
29.04.25	Grigor Dimitrov - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
26.04.25	Jacob Fearnley - Tomas Machac	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WLWLW

Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide