Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Croatia	Max
Czech-republic	Max
Denmark	Max
Finland	Max
France	France TV Rolan Garros, Max
Hungary	Max
Norway	MAX
Poland	Max
Romania	Max
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Usa	Max


	Cameron Norrie		Jacob Fearnley

	1	2
	1.73	2.1	Watch
	1.78	2
	1.73	2.11	Watch
	1.77	2.17
	1.74	2.1	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.75	2.08	Watch
	1.73	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (1.9)	2.08 ↑ (1.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cameron Norrie
54.3%

Jacob Fearnley
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cameron Norrie has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Jacob Fearnley has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cameron Norrie than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jacob Fearnley than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
91.7%	0%	8.3%

Cameron Norrie - Jacob Fearnley Predictions

Users Predictions: Cameron Norrie will win (53 of 58 users predict this - 91.38%).
Confidence interval (95%): 84.16% – 98.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Cameron Norrie will win (32 of 32 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Norrie is ranked ATP: 81. Fearnley is ranked ATP: 55.

Norrie is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Fearnley's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Fearnley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cameron Norrie
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Federico Agustin Gomez	3:0 ✺
27.05.25	Daniil Medvedev - Cameron Norrie	2:3 ✺
ATP Geneva
23.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Novak Djokovic	1:2 ✺
22.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Cameron Norrie	0:2 ✺
21.05.25	Cameron Norrie - Tomas Machac	Machac T. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 WWLW?
- Jacob Fearnley
ATP Roland Garros
29.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Ugo Humbert	Humbert U. retired ✺
26.05.25	Jacob Fearnley - Stanislas Wawrinka	3:0 ✺
ATP Geneva
21.05.25	Alexei Popyrin - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Dusan Lajovic - Jacob Fearnley	0:2 ✺
ATP Roma
10.05.25	Matteo Berrettini - Jacob Fearnley	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 ?WLWL

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