Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Barletta - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2026, Sunday


	Jacopo Vasami		Lorenzo Carboni

	1	2
			Watch
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.68	2.23
	1.65	2.1	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.65	2.11	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.68)	2.13 ↑ (2.04)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jacopo Vasami
56.1%

Lorenzo Carboni
43.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jacopo Vasami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Lorenzo Carboni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jacopo Vasami than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jacopo Vasami that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Carboni could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jacopo Vasami - Lorenzo Carboni Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Vasami is ranked ATP: 554. Carboni is ranked ATP: 483.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Vasami may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jacopo Vasami
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Jacopo Vasami	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Jacopo Vasami - Inaki Montes De La Torre	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Kilian Feldbausch - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
20.03.26	Younes Lalami Laaroussi - Jacopo Vasami	1:2 ✺
19.03.26	Michiel De Krom - Jacopo Vasami	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 LLWWW
- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
23.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
22.03.26	Zsombor Piros - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Stefanos Sakellaridis	Carboni L. retired ✺
02.03.26	Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.8 LWL?W

Jacopo Vasami - Lorenzo Carboni: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide