Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Naples - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 23 March 2026, Monday


	Lorenzo Carboni		Francesco Forti

	1	2
			Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.81	2.03
	1.74	1.97	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.76	1.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.9)	1.92 ↑ (1.81)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorenzo Carboni
51.8%

Francesco Forti
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorenzo Carboni has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Francesco Forti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Carboni than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Forti than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Lorenzo Carboni - Francesco Forti Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Carboni will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Forti will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Carboni is ranked ATP: 483. Forti is ranked ATP: 600.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Forti may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Francesco Forti - the odds 1.81 are the expected chance of winning is 51.13%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lorenzo Carboni
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Zsombor Piros - Lorenzo Carboni	1:2 ✺
10.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Federico Iannaccone	0:2 ✺
03.03.26	Lorenzo Carboni - Stefanos Sakellaridis	Carboni L. retired ✺
02.03.26	Luca Potenza - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
01.03.26	Stephanos Schinas - Lorenzo Carboni	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WL?WW
- Francesco Forti
ATP Challenger
22.03.26	Francesco Forti - Andrey Chepelev	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
22.03.26	Hynek Barton - Francesco Forti	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Francesco Forti - Peter Buldorini	2:0 ✺
20.03.26	Lorenzo Rottoli - Francesco Forti	0:2 ✺
19.03.26	Giannicola Misasi - Francesco Forti	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLWWW

Lorenzo Carboni - Francesco Forti: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide