Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 2 September 2026, Wednesday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Germany	Laola1


	Jaime Faria		Carlos Alcaraz Garfia

	1	2
	10.00	1.06	Watch
	8.25	1.07
	7.50	1.09
	10.50	1.07
	8.89	1.06	Watch
	10.00	1.05
	9.55	1.07	Watch
	9.40	1.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.26 ↑ (6.38)	1.07 ↓ (1.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 33.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
10.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
89.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.8%

85.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jaime Faria - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7.5 Games - Faria (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Faria (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 72. Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 3.

Faria is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP US Open
30.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Jaime Faria - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
18.08.26	Jaime Faria - Adam Walton	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Ben Shelton - Jaime Faria	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Jaime Faria - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 21 WLWWW
- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP US Open
31.08.26	Roman Safiullin - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia	0:3 ✺
ATP Barcelona
16.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Tomas Machac	Machac T. Walkover ✺
14.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Otto Virtanen	2:0 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
12.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 W?WLW

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