Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Jinan, hard - Final

Date: 12 October 2025, Sunday


	Arthur Cazaux		Mackenzie McDonald

	1	2
	1.53	2.38	Watch
			Watch
	1.52	2.37	Watch
	1.57	2.5
	1.53	2.46	Watch
	1.54	2.39	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.66)	2.42 ↑ (2.13)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Cazaux
61.1%

Mackenzie McDonald
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.2%

43.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Cazaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Mackenzie McDonald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arthur Cazaux than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mackenzie McDonald than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.3%	0%	6.7%

Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald Predictions

Users Predictions: Arthur Cazaux will win (14 of 15 users predict this - 93.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.7% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Cazaux will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Cazaux is ranked ATP: 70. McDonald is ranked ATP: 99.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Cazaux could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Cazaux won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Cazaux
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
10.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Yi Zhou	2:1 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Liam Draxl	2:0 ✺
08.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Ugo Blanchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
04.10.25	Arthur Cazaux - Cameron Norrie	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWWWL
- Mackenzie McDonald
ATP Challenger
11.10.25	Petr Bar-Biryukov - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2 ✺
10.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Brandon Holt	2:1 ✺
09.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
07.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
02.10.25	Mackenzie McDonald - Quentin Halys	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.10.24	Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald	0:2

Arthur Cazaux - Mackenzie McDonald: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide