Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: San Marino, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 18 July 2025, Friday


	Harold Mayot		Thiago Augustin Tirante

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.55	1.46	Watch
	2.66	1.51
	2.57	1.50	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.53	1.48	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.51 ↑ (2.16)	1.5 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Harold Mayot
37.3%

Thiago Augustin Tirante
62.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.3%

56.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.8%

57.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Harold Mayot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Harold Mayot's form might have worsened.

Thiago Augustin Tirante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Thiago Augustin Tirante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harold Mayot than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Harold Mayot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thiago Augustin Tirante than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Thiago Augustin Tirante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mayot is ranked ATP: 178. Tirante is ranked ATP: 118.

Mayot has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Tirante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Mayot may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tirante will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Tirante will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Mayot won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Thiago Augustin Tirante - the odds 1.65 are the expected chance of winning is 56.71%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Harold Mayot
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
15.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	0:2 ✺
08.07.25	Harold Mayot - Duje Ajdukovic	1:2 ✺
04.07.25	Jan Choinski - Harold Mayot	2:0 ✺
02.07.25	Arthur Gea - Harold Mayot	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLLW
- Thiago Augustin Tirante
ATP Challenger
16.07.25	Federico Cina - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Nerman Fatic - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
13.07.25	Matej Dodig - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0 ✺
12.07.25	Facundo Diaz Acosta - Thiago Augustin Tirante	0:2 ✺
12.07.25	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
02.09.20	Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante	2:0

Harold Mayot - Thiago Augustin Tirante: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide