Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Cincinnati, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday


	Taylor Harry Fritz		Brandon Nakashima

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.54	Watch
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.58	2.59
	1.56	2.49	Watch
	1.55	2.55
	1.58	2.56	Watch
	1.54	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.46)	2.54 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 25.50

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taylor Harry Fritz
62.1%

Brandon Nakashima
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taylor Harry Fritz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taylor Harry Fritz than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Fritz will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Nakashima will win (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fritz: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fritz is ranked ATP: 9. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 22.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 4.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fritz could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Fritz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taylor Harry Fritz
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Christopher OConnell	2:0 ✺
18.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Daniel Merida Aguilar	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
05.08.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Taylor Harry Fritz	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
03.08.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWWLW
- Brandon Nakashima
ATP Cincinnati
19.08.26	Nuno Borges - Brandon Nakashima	1:2 ✺
18.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Daniil Medvedev	2:1 ✺
16.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Montreal
13.08.26	Ben Shelton - Brandon Nakashima	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Rafael Jodar - Brandon Nakashima	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Washington
01.08.26	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	1:2
ATP Dallas
11.02.26	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	2:0
ATP Cincinnati
13.08.24	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	1:2
ATP Indian Wells
10.10.21	Brandon Nakashima - Taylor Harry Fritz	0:2
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.21	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	3:1
Exhibition Hawaii Open Men
27.12.19	Taylor Harry Fritz - Brandon Nakashima	0:2

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