Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Acapulco (Mexico), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 February 2025, Monday


	Jakub Mensik		Tomas Machac

	1	2
	2.2	1.67
			Watch
	2.17	1.67	Watch
	2.23	1.72
	2.09	1.73	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
	2.18	1.69	Watch
	2.17	1.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↓ (2.32)	1.69 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jakub Mensik
43.7%

Tomas Machac
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

60.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jakub Mensik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Tomas Machac has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jakub Mensik than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tomas Machac than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jakub Mensik - Tomas Machac Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mensik will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Machac will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Machac: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Mensik is ranked ATP: 45. Machac is ranked ATP: 24.

Recent matches Mensik is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Machac is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Machac will have a poor advantage in this game.

Our prediction for today's Machac to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jakub Mensik
ATP Rotterdam
06.02.25	Jakub Mensik - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
04.02.25	Alexander Bublik - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
16.01.25	Jakub Mensik - Alejandro Davidovich Fokina	2:3 ✺
15.01.25	Casper Ruud - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
12.01.25	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Jakub Mensik	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWLWW
- Tomas Machac
ATP Dallas
07.02.25	Denis Shapovalov - Tomas Machac	2:0 ✺
06.02.25	Rinky Hijikata - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
05.02.25	Kei Nishikori - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
01.02.25	Tomas Machac - Gerard Campana Lee	Canceled ✺
31.01.25	Tomas Machac - Soon Woo Kwon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWW?W

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