Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 April 2025, Tuesday


	Vilius Gaubas		Khumoun Sultanov

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.32	2.95	Watch
	1.37	3.18
	1.35	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.34	3.1	Watch
	1.32	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.49)	3.02 ↑ (2.47)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
69.2%

Khumoun Sultanov
30.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.4%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8%

36.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vilius Gaubas's performance.

Khumoun Sultanov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Khumoun Sultanov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vilius Gaubas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Khumoun Sultanov than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Khumoun Sultanov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Vilius Gaubas - Khumoun Sultanov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Sultanov will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sultanov (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 144. Sultanov is ranked ATP: 223.

Gaubas is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Sultanov is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sultanov could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Gaubas is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
11.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
08.04.25	Lorenzo Giustino - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Vilius Gaubas	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 LWWWW
- Khumoun Sultanov
ATP Challenger
09.04.25	Raphael Collignon - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
07.04.25	Lukas Klein - Khumoun Sultanov	0:2 ✺
03.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
01.04.25	Khumoun Sultanov - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:1 ✺
12.03.25	Federico Cina - Khumoun Sultanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLWL

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