Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Final

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday


	Vilius Gaubas		Matteo Gigante

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.95	1.75	Watch
	1.8	1.85	Watch
	1.87	2
	1.87	1.92	Watch
	2	1.73	Watch
	1.84	1.88	Watch
	1.8	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.82)	1.85 ↓ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
49.7%

Matteo Gigante
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

46.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Matteo Gigante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matteo Gigante than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
54.5%	0%	45.5%

Vilius Gaubas - Matteo Gigante Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Gigante will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gaubas: 25.1% – 83.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Vilius Gaubas will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Gigante is ranked ATP: 195.

Gaubas is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Gigante is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Gigante could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Vilius Gaubas - the odds 1.82 are the expected chance of winning is 50.72%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Matteo Gigante - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.28%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWL
- Matteo Gigante
ATP Challenger
25.04.25	Sandro Kopp - Matteo Gigante	Gigante M. walkover ✺
25.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Francesco Maestrelli	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Kimmer Coppejans	2:1 ✺
22.04.25	Matteo Gigante - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
15.04.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Matteo Gigante	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 ?WWWL

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