Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday


	Vilius Gaubas		Lukas Neumayer

	1	2
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.81	1.9
	1.73	2.19
	1.82	1.97	Watch
			Watch
	1.78	1.95	Watch
	1.81	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	1.99 ↑ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vilius Gaubas
52.7%

Lukas Neumayer
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vilius Gaubas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Lukas Neumayer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukas Neumayer than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Gaubas will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Neumayer will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.5 Games - Gaubas (1.78) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gaubas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Gaubas is ranked ATP: 149. Neumayer is ranked ATP: 191.

Gaubas is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Neumayer is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Neumayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Gaubas won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Lukas Neumayer - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 50.04%, but this team recently wins 21% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Vilius Gaubas
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Andrea Pellegrino	2:1 ✺
23.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Oleg Prihodko	2:0 ✺
22.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Khumoun Sultanov	2:1 ✺
11.04.25	Vilius Gaubas - Marin Cilic	1:2 ✺
10.04.25	Sebastian Ofner - Vilius Gaubas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWWLW
- Lukas Neumayer
ATP Challenger
24.04.25	Timofey Skatov - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
23.04.25	Lukas Pokorny - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
21.04.25	Mili Poljicak - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
05.04.25	Pol Martin Tiffon - Lukas Neumayer	2:1 ✺
04.04.25	Elmer Moller - Lukas Neumayer	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.03.23	Vilius Gaubas - Lukas Neumayer	2:1

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