Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Geneva - Qualification, clay - Final

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday


	James Duckworth		Edas Butvilas

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.57	Watch
	2.12	1.64	Watch
	2.26	1.67
	2.23	1.61	Watch
	2.38	1.53
	2.15	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.58)	1.61 ↓ (2.29)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Duckworth
41.8%

Edas Butvilas
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.9%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Duckworth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Duckworth's form might have worsened.

Edas Butvilas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Edas Butvilas's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Duckworth than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Duckworth, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Edas Butvilas than the current prediction. (-13.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Edas Butvilas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
18.2%	0%	81.8%

James Duckworth - Edas Butvilas Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Duckworth will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Butvilas will win (votes: 8 - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Butvilas: 55.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Duckworth is ranked ATP: 81. Butvilas is ranked ATP: 256.

Duckworth has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Butvilas has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Butvilas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Duckworth is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Duckworth will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

James Duckworth - the odds 1.58 are the expected chance of winning is 59.17%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Edas Butvilas - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.83%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Duckworth
ATP Geneva
16.05.26	James Duckworth - Miguel Damas	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.04.26	James Duckworth - August Holmgren	Canceled ✺
13.04.26	James Duckworth - Stefano Napolitano	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	James Duckworth - Tibo Colson	2:0 ✺
10.04.26	James Duckworth - Beibit Zhukayev	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 W?WWW
- Edas Butvilas
ATP Geneva
16.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Alexandre Muller	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Kimmer Coppejans - Edas Butvilas	2:0 ✺
11.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Kilian Feldbausch	2:0 ✺
10.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Edas Butvilas - Buvaysar Gadamauri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WLWWL

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