Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Canberra, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 January 2026, Monday


	James McCabe		Mark Lajal

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James McCabe
40.2%

Mark Lajal
59.8%

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

64.4%

32.8%

67.2%

James McCabe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Mark Lajal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for James McCabe than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with James McCabe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mark Lajal than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mark Lajal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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McCabe is ranked ATP: 193. Lajal is ranked ATP: 149.

In recent matches, McCabe has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lajal is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lajal will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Lajal will win today's game, with odds of 1.44.

The players have not played against each other recently.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James McCabe
ATP Challenger
28.11.25	James McCabe - Rinky Hijikata	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	James McCabe - Marc Polmans	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	James McCabe - Blaise Bicknell	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	James McCabe - Omar Jasika	Canceled ✺
21.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - James McCabe	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LWW?L
- Mark Lajal
ATP Challenger
20.11.25	Mark Lajal - Justin Engel	Engel J. walkover ✺
19.11.25	Mark Lajal - Alexey Vatutin	2:1 ✺
17.11.25	Mark Lajal - Luka Mikrut	Canceled ✺
12.11.25	Jan-Lennard Struff - Mark Lajal	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Mark Lajal - Geoffrey Blancaneaux	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 ?W?LW

James McCabe - Mark Lajal: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide