Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Glasgow - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday


	James Story		Milos Karol

	1	2
			Watch
	2.8	1.38
	2.63	1.43	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.69	1.41	Watch
	2.6	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.2)	1.41 ↓ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Story
34.4%

Milos Karol
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42%

58%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

56.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Story has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Story's form might have worsened.

Milos Karol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Milos Karol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Story than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Story, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Milos Karol than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Milos Karol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

James Story - Milos Karol Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Karol will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Karol (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Story is ranked ATP: 463. Karol is ranked ATP: 436.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Story may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Karol will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Story
ATP Challenger
05.01.26	Daniel Masur - James Story	2:0 ✺
04.01.26	Finn Bass - James Story	0:2 ✺
26.11.25	Philip Henning - James Story	2:0 ✺
25.11.25	Carlo Alberto Caniato - James Story	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
20.11.25	James Story - Luca Preda	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL
- Milos Karol
ATP Challenger
04.01.26	Milos Karol - Cannon Kingsley	1:2 ✺
19.11.25	Stefano Travaglia - Milos Karol	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Milos Karol - Andrea Pellegrino	2:0 ✺
17.11.25	Milos Karol - Niels Visker	2:1 ✺
16.11.25	Milos Karol - Filip Pieczonka	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLWWW

James Story - Milos Karol: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide