Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shanghai - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 1 September 2025, Monday


	James Watt		Filip Peliwo

	1	2
			Watch
	2.15	1.6
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.22	1.64
	2.15	1.61	Watch
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.16	1.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↑ (1.83)	1.63 ↓ (1.89)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

James Watt
42.9%

Filip Peliwo
57.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.9%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.1%

47.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

James Watt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that James Watt's form might have worsened.

Filip Peliwo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Filip Peliwo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for James Watt than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for James Watt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Filip Peliwo than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Filip Peliwo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

James Watt - Filip Peliwo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Watt is ranked ATP: 584. Peliwo is ranked ATP: 535.

In recent matches, Watt has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Peliwo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Watt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

James Watt - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50.87%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- James Watt
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Alexandr Binda - James Watt	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	James Watt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
25.08.25	Kaito Uesugi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
23.08.25	Seita Watanabe - James Watt	0:2 ✺
12.08.25	Rio Noguchi - James Watt	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLWL
- Filip Peliwo
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Luca Castelnuovo	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Petr Bar-Biryukov	2:0 ✺
25.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Hanyi Liu	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Filip Peliwo - Aoran Wang	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WLWWW

James Watt - Filip Peliwo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide