Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BAD WALTERSDORF (AUSTRIA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 22 September 2023, Friday


	Jan Choinski		Dennis Novak

	1	2
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.82	Watch
	1.98	1.89
	1.91	1.8	Watch
	1.9	1.85	Watch
	1.98	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↑ (1.83)	1.83 (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
48.7%

Dennis Novak
51.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Dennis Novak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dennis Novak than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.8%	0%	18.2%

Jan Choinski - Dennis Novak Predictions

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Novak could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Choinski won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Jan Choinski - Zdenek Kolar	2:1 ✺
18.09.23	Pedro Martinez Portero - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
12.09.23	Jan Choinski - Vit Kopriva	0:2 ✺
11.09.23	Jan Choinski - Pedro Cachin	Canceled ✺
ATP US Open
23.08.23	Sho Shimabukuro - Jan Choinski	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WWL?L
- Dennis Novak
ATP Challenger
20.09.23	Dennis Novak - Vitaliy Sachko	2:0 ✺
19.09.23	Dennis Novak - Sandro Kopp	2:0 ✺
05.09.23	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Dennis Novak	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
24.08.23	Dennis Novak - Marc Polmans	0:2 ✺
23.08.23	David Goffin - Dennis Novak	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.22	Jan Choinski - Dennis Novak	0:2

Jan Choinski - Dennis Novak: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide