Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bonn, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 27 July 2026, Monday


	Jan Choinski		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
			Watch
	1.45	2.55
	1.53	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.65
	1.47	2.48	Watch
	1.49	2.55	Watch
	1.48	2.47	Watch
	1.50	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	2.5 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Choinski
62.6%

Francesco Passaro
37.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.2%

38.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.6%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Francesco Passaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Choinski (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jan Choinski will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Choinski is ranked ATP: 90. Passaro is ranked ATP: 200.

Choinski is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Passaro is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Choinski won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jan Choinski - the odds 1.52 are the expected chance of winning is 61.25%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Choinski
ATP Estoril
21.07.26	Jan Choinski - Jesper De Jong	Canceled ✺
ATP Bastad
14.07.26	Jan Choinski - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.07.26	Jan Choinski - Hugo Gaston	2:1 ✺
11.07.26	Daniel Rincon - Jan Choinski	0:2 ✺
10.07.26	Jan Choinski - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?LWWW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
21.07.26	Dominic Stephan Stricker - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Bastad
13.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Martin Krumich	0:2 ✺
12.07.26	Francesco Passaro - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
08.07.26	Henri Squire - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
07.07.26	Pietro Orlando Fellin - Francesco Passaro	Fellin P. O. Retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLWL?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.09.25	Jan Choinski - Francesco Passaro	2:0

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