Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jan-Lennard Struff		Jaime Faria

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.35	1.57
	2.45	1.65
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.29	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.4)	1.6 ↓ (1.64)

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan-Lennard Struff
40.5%

Jaime Faria
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

58%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan-Lennard Struff has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jan-Lennard Struff than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.3%	0%	73.7%

Jan Lennard Struff - Jaime Faria Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Struff will win (votes: 5 - 26.3%). Faria will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Struff is ranked ATP: 80. Faria is ranked ATP: 115.

In recent matches, Struff has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Faria is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Faria may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Faria might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Faria will win today's game, with odds of 1.57.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Jaime Faria - the odds 1.64 are the expected chance of winning is 59.41%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan-Lennard Struff
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Alexander Bublik - Jan-Lennard Struff	1:3 ✺
ATP Hamburg
18.05.26	Jakub Mensik - Jan-Lennard Struff	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	1:2 ✺
ATP Roma
08.05.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Jan-Lennard Struff - Francisco Comesana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WLLLW
- Jaime Faria
ATP Roland Garros
26.05.26	Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov	3:0 ✺
21.05.26	Jaime Faria - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Jaime Faria - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Jaime Faria - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWWWL

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