Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 26 May 2026, Tuesday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Jaime Faria		Denis Shapovalov

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.59	2.37
	1.6	2.51
	1.27	3.61	Watch
	1.57	2.38
	1.62	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.78)	2.61 ↑ (2.16)

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jaime Faria
62.8%

Denis Shapovalov
37.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.8%

45.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jaime Faria has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jaime Faria's performance.

Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Denis Shapovalov might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaime Faria than the current prediction. (-11.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jaime Faria that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+11.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Denis Shapovalov could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72%	0%	28%

Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Faria will win (votes: 18 - 75%). Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Faria: 57.7% – 92.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Faria is ranked ATP: 117. Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 37.

Faria is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Shapovalov has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jaime Faria
ATP Roland Garros
21.05.26	Jaime Faria - Lukas Neumayer	2:0 ✺
20.05.26	Jaime Faria - Colton Smith	2:1 ✺
19.05.26	Jaime Faria - Grigor Dimitrov	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.05.26	Jaime Faria - Emilio Nava	1:2 ✺
14.05.26	Petr Brunclik - Jaime Faria	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW
- Denis Shapovalov
ATP Roma
07.05.26	Denis Shapovalov - Mariano Navone	0:2 ✺
ATP Madrid
25.04.26	Nicolai Budkov Kjaer - Denis Shapovalov	2:0 ✺
ATP Munich
17.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Alex Molcan	0:2 ✺
16.04.26	Denis Shapovalov - Fabian Marozsan	2:0 ✺
14.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Denis Shapovalov	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LLLWW

Jaime Faria - Denis Shapovalov: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide