Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 17 March 2026, Tuesday


	Nikoloz Basilashvili		Sho Shimabukuro

	1	2
			Watch
	2.08	1.67
	2.11	1.77
	2.13	1.68	Watch
	2.1	1.67
	2.06	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (2.04)	1.69 ↓ (1.72)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nikoloz Basilashvili
44.7%

Sho Shimabukuro
55.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.7%

54.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.2%

51.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nikoloz Basilashvili has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nikoloz Basilashvili than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Basilashvili will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Shimabukuro will win (votes: 9 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shimabukuro: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimabukuro (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Basilashvili is ranked ATP: 134. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 110.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Basilashvili may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Sho Shimabukuro - the odds 1.72 are the expected chance of winning is 54.26%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nikoloz Basilashvili
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Patrick Kypson - Nikoloz Basilashvili	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.26	Corentin Moutet - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
12.03.26	Arthur Cazaux - Nikoloz Basilashvili	Basilashvili N. walkover ✺
11.03.26	Nikoloz Basilashvili - Kamil Majchrzak	2:0 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
03.03.26	Christopher OConnell - Nikoloz Basilashvili	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WL?WL
- Sho Shimabukuro
ATP Miami
16.03.26	Alex Bolt - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
05.03.26	Alexander Shevchenko - Sho Shimabukuro	2:1 ✺
03.03.26	Martin Landaluce - Sho Shimabukuro	1:2 ✺
02.03.26	Colton Smith - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Acapulco
25.02.26	Yibing Wu - Sho Shimabukuro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Nikoloz Basilashvili - Sho Shimabukuro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide