Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Finals - Turin - Play Offs, hard - Semi-finals

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Jannik Sinner		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	1.05	10	Watch
	1.06	8.5	Watch
	1.06	12.48
	1.10	6.90	Watch
			Watch
	1.06	9.95	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.07 ↓ (1.1)	9.57 ↑ (6.9)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
90%

Alex De Minaur
10%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

86.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.9%	0%	47.1%

Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). De Minaur will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sinner: 29.2% – 76.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 19.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 2nd Set - Sinner (1.17) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

H/A, 1st Set - Sinner (1.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -4.5 Games - Sinner (1.69) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH -2.5 Games, 2nd Set - Sinner (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 2. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 7.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 5.

Sinner is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

De Minaur's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Sinner may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Sinner is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:2. (average 2.1:0.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP World Tour Finals
14.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Ben Shelton	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Alexander Zverev	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Jannik Sinner - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
02.11.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
01.11.25	Alexander Zverev - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWWWW
- Alex De Minaur
ATP World Tour Finals
13.11.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Alex De Minaur	0:2 ✺
11.11.25	Lorenzo Musetti - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
11.11.25	Novak Djokovic - Alex De Minaur	N/A
09.11.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
ATP Paris
31.10.25	Alexander Bublik - Alex De Minaur	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WL?LL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Vienna
25.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Beijing
30.09.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:1
ATP Australian Open
22.01.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	3:0
Davis Cup World Group
23.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP World Tour Finals
10.11.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
18.02.24	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0
Davis Cup World Group
26.11.23	Alex De Minaur - Jannik Sinner	0:2

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