Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Miami, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday


	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.5	Watch
	1.14	5.6	Watch
	1.15	6.09
	1.13	5.37	Watch
	1.13	6
	1.15	6.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.14 ↑ (1.09)	5.77 ↓ (6.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
83.5%

Joao Fonseca
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

85.6%

14.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Alcaraz Garfia will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Fonseca will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Fonseca (1.93) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Fonseca (2.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Alcaraz Garfia is ranked ATP: 1. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 39.

At the moment, both players are looking strong and ready to play.

Alcaraz Garfia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Alcaraz Garfia is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Alcaraz Garfia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Carlos Alcaraz Garfia
ATP Indian Wells
14.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Daniil Medvedev	0:2 ✺
12.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Cameron Norrie	2:0 ✺
11.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Casper Ruud	2:0 ✺
09.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Arthur Rinderknech	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Grigor Dimitrov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LWWWW
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Miami
19.03.26	Fabian Marozsan - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
ATP Indian Wells
10.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Jannik Sinner	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Tommy Paul	2:0 ✺
07.03.26	Karen Khachanov - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
04.03.26	Joao Fonseca - Raphael Collignon	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1

Upcoming Matches