Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 15 May 2025, Thursday


	Jasmine Paolini		Peyton Stearns

	1	2
	1.4	3	Watch
	1.45	2.8
	1.44	2.8	Watch
	1.42	3.11
	1.43	2.89	Watch
	1.44	2.75
	1.42	2.89	Watch
	1.44	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.53)	2.88 ↑ (2.48)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmine Paolini
66.8%

Peyton Stearns
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmine Paolini has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Peyton Stearns has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jasmine Paolini than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peyton Stearns than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Jasmine Paolini - Peyton Stearns Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Paolini will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Stearns will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stearns: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 6 - 37.5%). Stearns (votes: 10 - 62.5%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +4 Games - Stearns (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Paolini (votes: 6 - 35.3%). Stearns (votes: 11 - 64.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Paolini is ranked WTA: 5. Stearns is ranked WTA: 42.

Paolini is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Stearns is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Stearns may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paolini might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmine Paolini
WTA Roma
13.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
10.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Ons Jabeur	2:0 ✺
08.05.25	Jasmine Paolini - Lulu Sun	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
27.04.25	Maria Sakkari - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Peyton Stearns
WTA Roma
13.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Elina Svitolina	2:1 ✺
12.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
10.05.25	Madison Keys - Peyton Stearns	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Anna Kalinskaya	2:0 ✺
06.05.25	Peyton Stearns - Nuria Brancaccio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWWWW

Jasmine Paolini - Peyton Stearns: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide