Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 September 2025, Wednesday


	Javier Barranco Cosano		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3	1.34	Watch
	3.05	1.33	Watch
	3.33	1.34
	3.04	1.35	Watch
			Watch
	2.94	1.37	Watch
	3	1.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.12 ↓ (3.33)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Javier Barranco Cosano
30%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
70%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

71.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

67.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Javier Barranco Cosano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pablo Carreno-Busta than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Javier Barranco Cosano - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Carreno Busta (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -4.5 Games - Carreno Busta (1.97) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -1.5 Sets - Carreno Busta (1.97) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Barranco Cosano (votes: 1 - 10%). Carreno Busta (votes: 9 - 90%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Barranco Cosano is ranked ATP: 405. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 137.

Barranco Cosano is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Carreno Busta has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carreno Busta is a strong favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Barranco Cosano won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Javier Barranco Cosano
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Gonzalo Bueno - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
29.08.25	Miguel Damas - Javier Barranco Cosano	Barranco Cosano J. retired ✺
28.08.25	Carlos Lopez Montagud - Javier Barranco Cosano	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Ignacio Parisca - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
26.08.25	Pedro Rodenas - Javier Barranco Cosano	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 W?WWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Challenger
02.09.25	Daniel Rincon - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Javier Barranco Cosano	2:0

Upcoming Matches