Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Winston-Salem, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 17 August 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Max
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Portugal	Sport TV6
Romania	Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport PPV 1
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1, TV4 Tennis


	Yoshihito Nishioka		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.2	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.38	1.63
	2.23	1.64	Watch
	2.2	1.67	Watch
			Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.91)	1.63 ↓ (1.91)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Yoshihito Nishioka
41.8%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Yoshihito Nishioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yoshihito Nishioka's form might have worsened.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Pablo Carreno-Busta's recent form is better than expected.

Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Nishioka is ranked ATP: 130. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 93.

Nishioka has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Carreno Busta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Carreno Busta might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Nishioka won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Yoshihito Nishioka
ATP Challenger
12.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Sho Shimabukuro	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
07.08.25	Terence Atmane - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Ethan Quinn - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
23.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Yoshihito Nishioka	2:0 ✺
21.07.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LLLLW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
30.07.25	Arthur Fils - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
28.07.25	Liam Draxl - Pablo Carreno-Busta	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
30.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Chris Rodesch	Canceled ✺
ATP Challenger
13.06.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Gauthier Onclin	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLW?L

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
06.08.18	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Yoshihito Nishioka	Nishioka Y. retired

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