Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Seville, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday


	Daniel Rincon		Pablo Carreno-Busta

	1	2
	3	1.36	Watch
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.39	Watch
	2.8	1.45
	2.74	1.42	Watch
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.77	1.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.8 ↓ (3.9)	1.4 ↑ (1.23)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Daniel Rincon
33.4%

Pablo Carreno-Busta
66.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24%

76%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Daniel Rincon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Daniel Rincon's performance.

Pablo Carreno-Busta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pablo Carreno-Busta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Daniel Rincon - Pablo Carreno Busta Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Rincon will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Carreno Busta will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Rincon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Rincon is ranked ATP: 287. Carreno Busta is ranked ATP: 137.

Rincon is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Carreno Busta has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Carreno Busta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Carreno Busta is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Daniel Rincon
ATP Challenger
31.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
30.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Harold Mayot	Mayot H. retired ✺
29.08.25	Daniel Rincon - Miguel Tobon	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Hamish Stewart - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Abedallah Shelbayh - Daniel Rincon	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 W?WWW
- Pablo Carreno-Busta
ATP US Open
27.08.25	Ben Shelton - Pablo Carreno-Busta	3:0 ✺
24.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Pablo Llamas Ruiz	3:0 ✺
ATP Winston-Salem
19.08.25	Sebastian Baez - Pablo Carreno-Busta	2:0 ✺
17.08.25	Yoshihito Nishioka - Pablo Carreno-Busta	0:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Pablo Carreno-Busta - Leandro Riedi	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLWL

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