Match Info
CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Genova 2, clay - Quarter-finalsDate: 25 September 2026, Friday
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Jay Clarke |
|
Carlo Alberto Caniato |
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|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
|
1.75 |
|
 |
1.95 |
|
1.76 |
|
 |
2.01 |
|
1.72 |
 Watch |
 |
2.02 |
|
1.81 |
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 |
1.95 |
|
1.76 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.98 ↑
(1.53) |
|
1.76 ↓
(2.29) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 22.50
- The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Jay Clarke
47.1% | Carlo Alberto Caniato
52.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Clarke's form might have worsened.Carlo Alberto Caniato has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carlo Alberto Caniato's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+17.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlo Alberto Caniato than the current prediction. (-17.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carlo Alberto Caniato, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Jay Clarke - Carlo Alberto Caniato Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Clarke (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Jay Clarke will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2 
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Preview
Clarke is ranked ATP: 247., and Caniato is ranked ATP: 386..Clarke is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).Caniato is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).Caniato may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days. Clarke is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match. These two players have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.
Last Results with these Odds
Jay Clarke - the odds 1.53 are the expected chance of winning is 59.9%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.
Carlo Alberto Caniato - the odds 2.29 are the expected chance of winning is 40.1%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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