Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: BRAUNSCHWEIG (GERMANY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 11 July 2023, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Francesco Passaro

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
	2.6	1.48
	2.63	1.51
	2.62	1.44	Watch
	2.64	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.31)	1.46 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
35.9%

Francesco Passaro
64.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

60%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

57.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Francesco Passaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Francesco Passaro than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Francesco Passaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jelle Sels - Francesco Passaro Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Passaro will win (votes: 4 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Passaro has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Passaro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Passaro will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Jelle Sels - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
ATP London
17.06.23	Jeffrey John Wolf - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
10.06.23	Pierre-Hugues Herbert - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
07.06.23	Jiri Lehecka - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
06.06.23	Jelle Sels - Mariano Navone	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLLLW
- Francesco Passaro
ATP Challenger
04.07.23	Francesco Passaro - Matteo Gigante	0:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.23	Denis Kudla - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
20.06.23	Salvatore Caruso - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
14.06.23	Andrea Pellegrino - Francesco Passaro	2:0 ✺
03.06.23	Francesco Passaro - Francisco Comesana	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

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