Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cherbourg (France), hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Date: 15 March 2025, Saturday


	Jelle Sels		Patrick Zahraj

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.38	1.52	Watch
	2.51	1.52	Watch
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.38	1.54	Watch
	2.38	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↑ (2.09)	1.52 ↓ (1.63)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
38.8%

Patrick Zahraj
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.8%

56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

59%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Patrick Zahraj has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Patrick Zahraj than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
26.7%	0%	73.3%

Jelle Sels - Patrick Zahraj Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 4 - 26.7%). Zahraj will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zahraj: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 367. Zahraj is ranked ATP: 319.

Sels in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Zahraj is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sels could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.

Our prediction for today's Zahraj to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Jelle Sels - Yuta Shimizu	2:0 ✺
13.03.25	Jelle Sels - Adrien Gobat	2:0 ✺
11.03.25	Antoine Escoffier - Jelle Sels	0:2 ✺
04.03.25	Jelle Sels - Zsombor Piros	Sels J. retired ✺
ITF Tournaments
27.02.25	Jelle Sels - Lorenzo Carboni	Sels J. retired ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWW??
- Patrick Zahraj
ATP Challenger
14.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Arthur Fery	2:0 ✺
12.03.25	Mae Malige - Patrick Zahraj	1:2 ✺
11.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Alexey Vatutin	2:0 ✺
10.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Tom Gentzsch	0:2 ✺
09.03.25	Patrick Zahraj - Maxence Beauge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WWWLW

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