Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Hong Kong, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday


	Jesper De Jong		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.9	1.4
	2.8	1.43	Watch
	3.28	1.34	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.87	1.42	Watch
	2.9	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.51)	1.41 ↓ (1.53)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
32.7%

Gabriel Diallo
67.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jesper De Jong's form might have worsened.

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Gabriel Diallo's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jesper De Jong - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 Games - De Jong (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3 Games - Diallo (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Gabriel Diallo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Gabriel Diallo will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. De Jong (votes: 2 - 20%). Diallo (votes: 8 - 80%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 74. Diallo is ranked ATP: 41.

In this match, Diallo is a strong favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Paris
26.10.25	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
25.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Kamil Majchrzak	2:1 ✺
ATP Vienna
18.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Matteo Arnaldi	0:2 ✺
ATP Stockholm
15.10.25	Jesper De Jong - Marton Fucsovics	0:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
06.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LWLLL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Paris
29.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur	1:2 ✺
28.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Amir Omarkhanov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLLW

Jesper De Jong - Gabriel Diallo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide