Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Basel, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 22 October 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Basel 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Felix Aliassime-Auger		Gabriel Diallo

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
			Watch
	1.37	3.05	Watch
	1.4	3.13
	1.36	3.03	Watch
	1.4	3.08	Watch
	1.44	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.57)	3.04 ↑ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Felix Aliassime-Auger
68.6%

Gabriel Diallo
31.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.7%

36.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Felix Aliassime-Auger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Felix Aliassime-Auger's performance.

Gabriel Diallo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gabriel Diallo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Aliassime-Auger than the current prediction. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gabriel Diallo than the current prediction. (+4.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.5%	0%	9.5%

Felix Aliassime Auger - Gabriel Diallo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 10.5 Games, 1st Set - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (19 of 21 users predict this - 90.48%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.93% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Felix Aliassime-Auger will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Aliassime-Auger is ranked ATP: 13. Diallo is ranked ATP: 35.

Aliassime-Auger is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diallo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Aliassime-Auger may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Aliassime-Auger could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Last Results with these Odds

Gabriel Diallo - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.75%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Felix Aliassime-Auger
ATP Brussels
19.10.25	Jiri Lehecka - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
18.10.25	Raphael Collignon - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
17.10.25	Eliot Spizzirri - Felix Aliassime-Auger	0:2 ✺
16.10.25	Damir Dzumhur - Felix Aliassime-Auger	1:2 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.25	Arthur Rinderknech - Felix Aliassime-Auger	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWWWL
- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Amir Omarkhanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
05.10.25	David Goffin - Gabriel Diallo	Goffin D. retired ✺
03.10.25	Benjamin Bonzi - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LWL?W

Felix Aliassime-Auger - Gabriel Diallo