Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Paris, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 29 October 2025, Wednesday


	Gabriel Diallo		Alex De Minaur

	1	2
	3.5	1.3	Watch
			Watch
	3.6	1.3	Watch
	4.05	1.22	Watch
			Watch
	3.62	1.31	Watch
	3.7	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.69 ↓ (4.05)	1.28 ↑ (1.22)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gabriel Diallo
25.8%

Alex De Minaur
74.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.1%

76.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gabriel Diallo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Alex De Minaur has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur Predictions

Users Predictions: Alex De Minaur will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Alex De Minaur will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Diallo is ranked ATP: 42. De Minaur is ranked ATP: 6.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

De Minaur may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, De Minaur is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Diallo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gabriel Diallo
ATP Paris
28.10.25	Tallon Griekspoor - Gabriel Diallo	0:2 ✺
ATP Basel
22.10.25	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Gabriel Diallo	2:0 ✺
ATP Almaty
15.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - James Duckworth	1:2 ✺
13.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Amir Omarkhanov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
07.10.25	Gabriel Diallo - Zizou Bergs	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 WLLWL
- Alex De Minaur
ATP Vienna
25.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
24.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Matteo Berrettini	2:0 ✺
22.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Filip Misolic	2:0 ✺
20.10.25	Alex De Minaur - Jurij Rodionov	2:0 ✺
ATP Shanghai
10.10.25	Daniil Medvedev - Alex De Minaur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Toronto
09.08.23	Gabriel Diallo - Alex De Minaur	0:2

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