Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Braunschweig, clay - Final

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Slovakia	Arena sport 2


	Mariano Navone		Juan Manuel Cerundolo

	1	2
	1.36	3	Watch
	1.4	2.75	Watch
	1.36	2.9	Watch
	1.42	3.03
			Watch
	1.44	2.62	Watch
	1.39	2.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.59)	2.86 ↑ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mariano Navone
67.2%

Juan Manuel Cerundolo
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.1%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6%

41.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mariano Navone's performance.

Juan Manuel Cerundolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juan Manuel Cerundolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mariano Navone that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juan Manuel Cerundolo than the current prediction. (+8.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juan Manuel Cerundolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo Predictions

Users Predictions: Mariano Navone will win (12 of 12 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Mariano Navone will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Navone is ranked ATP: 91. Cerundolo is ranked ATP: 112.

Now, both players are in good form.

Navone might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Navone won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mariano Navone
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Filip Misolic - Mariano Navone	1:2 ✺
10.07.25	Mariano Navone - Botic Van De Zandschulp	2:0 ✺
09.07.25	Mariano Navone - Diego Dedura-Palomero	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Mariano Navone - Ignacio Buse	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.25	Pedro Martinez Portero - Mariano Navone	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWL
- Juan Manuel Cerundolo
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Alex Molcan	2:1 ✺
10.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Raphael Collignon	2:1 ✺
09.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Nerman Fatic	2:0 ✺
08.07.25	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Federico Arnaboldi	2:0 ✺
04.07.25	Federico Cina - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
16.09.23	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	Cerundolo J. M. retired
01.10.22	Mariano Navone - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	0:2
23.09.22	Juan Manuel Cerundolo - Mariano Navone	0:2

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