Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 22 August 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY) 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belgium	19:00	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia And Herzegovina	19:00	HBO Max
Bulgaria	20:00	HBO Max
Croatia	19:00	HBO Max
Czech Republic	19:00	HBO Max
Denmark	19:00	HBO Max
Finland	20:00	HBO Max
France	19:00	HBO Max
Hungary	19:00	HBO Max
Moldova	20:00	HBO Max
Montenegro	19:00	HBO Max
Netherlands	19:00	HBO Max
North Macedonia	19:00	HBO Max
Norway	19:00	HBO Max
Poland	19:00	HBO Max
Romania	20:00	HBO Max
Serbia	19:00	HBO Max
Slovenia	19:00	HBO Max
Spain	19:00	HBO Max
Sweden	19:00	HBO Max


	Jesper De Jong		Mitchell Krueger

	1	2
	1.33	3.25
	1.33	3.22
	1.36	3.24
	1.37	3.14	Watch
	1.38	3.04	Watch
	1.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.85)	2.96 ↑ (1.87)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
67.3%

Mitchell Krueger
32.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Mitchell Krueger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mitchell Krueger might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mitchell Krueger than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mitchell Krueger could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jesper De Jong - Mitchell Krueger Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

De Jong is ranked ATP: 80. Krueger is ranked ATP: 186.

Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.

De Jong may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

De Jong will hold a modest advantage in this match.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Last Results with these Odds

Mitchell Krueger - the odds 1.87 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Harold Mayot	2:1 ✺
18.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Vilius Gaubas	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
15.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Dalibor Svrcina	0:2 ✺
14.08.25	Jesper De Jong - Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez	2:0 ✺
ATP Umag
24.07.25	Carlos Taberner - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWL
- Mitchell Krueger
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Mitchell Krueger - Andrea Collarini	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Mitchell Krueger	1:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
05.08.25	Adrian Mannarino - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Toronto
26.07.25	Emilio Nava - Mitchell Krueger	2:0 ✺
ATP Washington
19.07.25	Yibing Wu - Mitchell Krueger	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 WWLLL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mitchell Krueger
ATP Challenger
29.10.26	Mitchell Krueger - Darwin Blanch	✺

Jesper De Jong - Mitchell Krueger