Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 11 May 2026, Monday


	Jessica Pegula		Anastasia Potapova

	1	2
	1.44	2.75	Watch
	1.45	2.75
	1.54	2.72
	1.5	2.67	Watch
	1.53	2.5
	1.48	2.74	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↑ (1.37)	2.69 ↓ (3.09)

The best margin for this event is 1.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
64.3%

Anastasia Potapova
35.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3%

25.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Anastasia Potapova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anastasia Potapova than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Anastasia Potapova, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
92.3%	0%	7.7%

Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Potapova Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Jessica Pegula will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 5. Potapova is ranked WTA: 38.

Pegula is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Potapova is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Potapova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Pegula could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:3. (average 1.6:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Rebeka Masarova	2:0 ✺
08.05.26	Jessica Pegula - Zeynep Sonmez	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
26.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Marta Kostyuk	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Katie Boulter	2:0 ✺
WTA Charleston
05.04.26	Jessica Pegula - Yulia Starodubtseva	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWLWW
- Anastasia Potapova
WTA Roma
10.05.26	Ludmilla Samsonova - Anastasia Potapova	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	Anastasia Potapova - Karolina Muchova	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Dalma Galfi - Anastasia Potapova	1:2 ✺
05.05.26	Anastasia Potapova - Nikola Bartunkova	2:1 ✺
04.05.26	Anastasia Potapova - Irina-Camelia Begu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Wuhan
09.10.24	Anastasia Potapova - Jessica Pegula	Potapova A. retired
WTA Miami
28.03.23	Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Potapova	2:1
WTA Indian Wells
12.03.23	Anastasia Potapova - Jessica Pegula	1:2
WTA US Open
31.08.21	Anastasia Potapova - Jessica Pegula	0:2
WTA Doha
28.02.21	Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Potapova	2:1

Jessica Pegula - Anastasia Potapova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide