Match Info

Date: 12 May 2021, Wednesday


	Jessica Pegula		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.75	1.45	Watch
	2.65	1.45
	2.78	1.5
	2.75	1.44	Watch
	2.84	1.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.04)	1.45 ↑ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
34.6%

Naomi Osaka
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.9%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Naomi Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jessica Pegula - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 7 - 25%). Osaka will win (votes: 21 - 75%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 59% – 91%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Both players are now playing unstable.

Osaka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Osaka will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pegula won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Roma
10.05.21	Darya Kasatkina - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
WTA Madrid
04.05.21	Aryna Sabalenka - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
02.05.21	Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka	Pegula J. walkover ✺
30.04.21	Jessica Pegula - Sorana Cirstea	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
29.03.21	Jessica Pegula - Maria Sakkari	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WL?WL
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Madrid
02.05.21	Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
30.04.21	Misaki Doi - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Miami
31.03.21	Maria Sakkari - Naomi Osaka	2:0 ✺
29.03.21	Elise Mertens - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
28.03.21	Nina Stojanovic - Naomi Osaka	Osaka N. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LWLW?

Latest Head to Head

WTA Beijing
29.09.19	Jessica Pegula - Naomi Osaka	0:2

Jessica Pegula - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide