Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 28 April 2026, Tuesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Jiri Lehecka		Lorenzo Musetti

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
			Watch
	2.34	1.6
	2.45	1.63
	2.37	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.38	1.64	Watch
	2.6	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.42)	1.6 ↑ (1.55)

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
39.9%

Lorenzo Musetti
60.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.9%

58.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lorenzo Musetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorenzo Musetti than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

Users Predictions: Lorenzo Musetti will win (15 of 18 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.11% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 14. Musetti is ranked ATP: 9.

Now, both players are in good form.

Lehecka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Musetti could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Musetti will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Lehecka won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Emilio Nava	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWLWW
- Lorenzo Musetti
ATP Madrid
26.04.26	Tallon Griekspoor - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
24.04.26	Hubert Hurkacz - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
ATP Barcelona
17.04.26	Arthur Fils - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
16.04.26	Corentin Moutet - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
14.04.26	Martin Landaluce - Lorenzo Musetti	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.25	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	1:2
ATP Miami
25.03.23	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0
ATP Rotterdam
11.02.22	Lorenzo Musetti - Jiri Lehecka	1:2

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