Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Madrid, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 29 April 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV


	Arthur Fils		Jiri Lehecka

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
			Watch
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.56	2.64
	1.55	2.51	Watch
	1.5	2.6	Watch
	1.59	2.5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.57)	2.54 ↑ (2.44)

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arthur Fils
62.1%

Jiri Lehecka
37.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.2%

35.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arthur Fils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

Jiri Lehecka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Fils than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.2%	0%	6.8%

Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 Sets - Fils (1.23) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Arthur Fils will win (41 of 44 users predict this - 93.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.73% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arthur Fils will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Fils (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Fils is ranked ATP: 25. Lehecka is ranked ATP: 14.

Fils is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lehecka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lehecka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Fils is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Fils will win today's game, with odds of 1.58.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fils won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Arthur Fils - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 60.86%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arthur Fils
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Tomas Martin Etcheverry - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
26.04.26	Arthur Fils - Emilio Nava	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Arthur Fils - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
ATP Barcelona
19.04.26	Andrey Rublev - Arthur Fils	0:2 ✺
18.04.26	Rafael Jodar - Arthur Fils	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Madrid
28.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Lorenzo Musetti	2:0 ✺
26.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alex Michelsen	2:0 ✺
24.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
ATP Monte Carlo
09.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alexander Bublik	0:2 ✺
08.04.26	Jiri Lehecka - Alejandro Tabilo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Miami
27.03.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	2:0
ATP Dubai
24.02.26	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	Canceled
ATP Doha
19.02.26	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	0:2
ATP Toronto
01.08.25	Arthur Fils - Jiri Lehecka	1:2
Davis Cup World Group
14.09.24	Jiri Lehecka - Arthur Fils	1:2

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