Match Info
ATP - SINGLES: French Open, clay - 1/32-finalsDate: 28 May 2026, ThursdayLocation: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
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Hubert Hurkacz |
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Francis Tiafoe |
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- The best margin for this event is 1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Hubert Hurkacz
57.6% | Francis Tiafoe
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hubert Hurkacz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Francis Tiafoe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hubert Hurkacz than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Francis Tiafoe than the current prediction. (+3.4%)Predictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Hurkacz will win (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Tiafoe will win (votes: 7 - 31.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hurkacz: 48.7% – 87.7%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0 
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Preview
Hurkacz is ranked ATP: 99. Tiafoe is ranked ATP: 22.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 4.Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.Tiafoe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Hurkacz could have a small edge in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Hurkacz won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).
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Last Results with these Odds
Hubert Hurkacz - the odds 1.68 are the expected chance of winning is 56.93%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
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