Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Shanghai 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jiri Lehecka		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.60	2.30
	1.64	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.29	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.68	2.23	Watch
	1.66	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.89)	2.28 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.50

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
58.3%

Rafael Jodar
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiri Lehecka's performance.

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rafael Jodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiri Lehecka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Jodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lehecka: 31.2% – 83%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 2 - 50%). Jodar (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Lehecka (2.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Lehecka (votes: 3 - 60%). Jodar (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 19., and Jodar is ranked ATP: 13..

Lehecka has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jodar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lehecka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lehecka has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Ugo Humbert - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar	0:2

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Alex Michelsen - Jiri Lehecka	✺
ATP Basel
31.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Jan-Lennard Struff	✺
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	✺

Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar