Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 12 October 2026, Monday


	Jiri Lehecka		Rafael Jodar

	1	2
	1.73	2.10	Watch
	1.67	2.18
	1.72	2.12
	1.68	2.18	Watch
	1.69	2.20
	1.74	2.14	Watch
	1.72	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.89)	2.15 ↑ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 23.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jiri Lehecka
55.7%

Rafael Jodar
44.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

50.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jiri Lehecka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jiri Lehecka's performance.

Rafael Jodar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rafael Jodar might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jiri Lehecka than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jiri Lehecka that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rafael Jodar than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rafael Jodar could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lehecka will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Jodar will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Jodar: 35.9% – 97.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Jodar (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lehecka is ranked ATP: 19., and Jodar is ranked ATP: 13..

Lehecka has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jodar has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Lehecka may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Lehecka has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jiri Lehecka
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Nuno Borges	2:1 ✺
ATP Tokyo
06.10.26	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Jiri Lehecka	2:0 ✺
05.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Valentin Vacherot	2:0 ✺
04.10.26	Jiri Lehecka - Daniel Vallejo	2:0 ✺
03.10.26	Ugo Humbert - Jiri Lehecka	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 WLWWW
- Rafael Jodar
ATP Shanghai
10.10.26	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Rafael Jodar	1:2 ✺
ATP Tokyo
01.10.26	Daniel Vallejo - Rafael Jodar	2:0 ✺
ATP Laver Cup
27.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Taylor Harry Fritz	Canceled ✺
25.09.26	Rafael Jodar - Alexander Bublik	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup World Group
20.09.26	Alejandro Tabilo - Rafael Jodar	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WL?W?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Montreal
08.08.26	Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar	0:2

Jiri Lehecka - Rafael Jodar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide