Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Rio de Janeiro, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Rio de Janeiro 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Joao Fonseca		Ignacio Buse

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Joao Fonseca
77.7%

Ignacio Buse
22.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

73.8%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 Sets - Fonseca (1.71) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Joao Fonseca will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Fonseca is ranked ATP: 38. Buse is ranked ATP: 91.

Fonseca may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Fonseca is a strong favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Rio de Janeiro
17.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Thiago Monteiro	2:0 ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
11.02.26	Joao Fonseca - Alejandro Tabilo	1:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
19.01.26	Joao Fonseca - Eliot Spizzirri	1:3 ✺
ATP Brisbane
04.01.26	Reilly Opelka - Joao Fonseca	Canceled ✺
Exhibition Others Matches Tennis Men
08.12.25	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 WLL?L
- Ignacio Buse
ATP Rio de Janeiro
16.02.26	Igor Marcondes - Ignacio Buse	1:2 ✺
16.02.26	Laslo Djere - Ignacio Buse	Canceled ✺
ATP Buenos Aires
12.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
10.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Christian Garin - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 W?LWL

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Vienna
27.10.26	Adrian Mannarino - Ignacio Buse	✺

Joao Fonseca - Ignacio Buse: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide