Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Buenos Aires, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 12 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Buenos Aires 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay


	Ignacio Buse		Sebastian Baez

	1	2
	3.2	1.36	Watch
	3.15	1.35	Watch
	3.09	1.41
	2.60	1.47	Watch
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	3.17	1.38	Watch
	3.1	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↑ (2.75)	1.39 ↓ (1.44)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Ignacio Buse
31.4%

Sebastian Baez
68.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

34.4%

65.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ignacio Buse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Sebastian Baez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.1%	0%	92.9%

Ignacio Buse - Sebastian Baez Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21.5 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sebastian Baez will win (26 of 28 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.32% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sebastian Baez will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Buse is ranked ATP: 96. Baez is ranked ATP: 34.

Baez's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Buse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Buenos Aires
10.02.26	Ignacio Buse - Francesco Passaro	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
16.11.25	Christian Garin - Ignacio Buse	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Roman Andres Burruchaga	2:0 ✺
14.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Gustavo Heide	2:0 ✺
12.11.25	Ignacio Buse - Vilius Gaubas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWWW
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Australian Open
21.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Luciano Darderi	1:3 ✺
19.01.26	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard - Sebastian Baez	2:3 ✺
ATP Auckland
16.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
15.01.26	Sebastian Baez - Marcos Giron	2:0 ✺
15.01.26	Ben Shelton - Sebastian Baez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWLWW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ignacio Buse
ATP Paris
02.11.26	Ignacio Buse - Zizou Bergs	✺
- Sebastian Baez
ATP Paris
31.10.26	Sebastian Baez - Damir Dzumhur	✺

Ignacio Buse - Sebastian Baez