Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 25 August 2025, Monday

Location: Grandstand (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Joao Fonseca		Miomir Kecmanovic

	1	2
	1.62	2.3	Watch
	1.56	2.4
	1.58	2.31	Watch
	1.57	2.52
	1.63	2.27	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.65	2.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)	2.35 ↓ (2.38)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Fonseca
59.5%

Miomir Kecmanovic
40.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.3%

39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Fonseca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Miomir Kecmanovic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miomir Kecmanovic than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
61.1%	0%	38.9%

Joao Fonseca - Miomir Kecmanovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Fonseca will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Kecmanovic will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Fonseca (votes: 2 - 40%). Kecmanovic (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Fonseca is ranked ATP: 52. Kecmanovic is ranked ATP: 45.

Fonseca is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Kecmanovic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kecmanovic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Fonseca could have a small edge in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Fonseca
ATP Cincinnati
11.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Terence Atmane	0:2 ✺
09.08.25	Alejandro Davidovich Fokina - Joao Fonseca	Davidovich Fokina A. retired ✺
07.08.25	Joao Fonseca - Bu Yunchaokete	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
28.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca	2:0 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 L?WLL
- Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Winston-Salem
21.08.25	Sebastian Korda - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:0 ✺
20.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Luciano Darderi	2:0 ✺
19.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Aleksandar Kovacevic	2:0 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
08.08.25	Miomir Kecmanovic - Ethan Quinn	0:2 ✺
ATP Toronto
29.07.25	Alexandre Muller - Miomir Kecmanovic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL

Joao Fonseca - Miomir Kecmanovic: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide