Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Toronto, hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 28 July 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 1
Bulgaria	Max Sport 1
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, SportKlub
Czech-republic	Premier Sport 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	beIN Sports 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 6
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 4
Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Premium 1
Romania	Prima Sport 2
Serbia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 5, Sportklub
Slovenia	Sportklub


	Tristan Schoolkate		Joao Fonseca

	1	2
	4	1.25	Watch
	3.4	1.3
	3.92	1.24	Watch
	4.38	1.24
	3.48	1.30	Watch
	3.6	1.29	Watch
	4.01	1.25	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.83 ↑ (3.49)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tristan Schoolkate
24.9%

Joao Fonseca
75.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

72.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9%

72.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tristan Schoolkate has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

Joao Fonseca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tristan Schoolkate than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Fonseca than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	0%	72.7%

Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Schoolkate will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Fonseca will win (votes: 7 - 70%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fonseca: 41.6% – 98.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Schoolkate (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Fonseca (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Schoolkate is ranked ATP: 104. Fonseca is ranked ATP: 47.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Schoolkate may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Fonseca is considered a favorite.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tristan Schoolkate
ATP Toronto
27.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Govind Nanda	2:0 ✺
ATP Los Cabos
17.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Denis Shapovalov	0:2 ✺
16.07.25	Daniel Altmaier - Tristan Schoolkate	0:2 ✺
15.07.25	Yibing Wu - Tristan Schoolkate	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.07.25	Tristan Schoolkate - Eliot Spizzirri	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WLWWL
- Joao Fonseca
ATP Wimbledon
04.07.25	Nicolas Jarry - Joao Fonseca	3:1 ✺
02.07.25	Joao Fonseca - Jenson Brooksby	3:1 ✺
30.06.25	Jacob Fearnley - Joao Fonseca	0:3 ✺
ATP Eastbourne
26.06.25	Taylor Harry Fritz - Joao Fonseca	2:1 ✺
23.06.25	Zizou Bergs - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWLW

Tristan Schoolkate - Joao Fonseca: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide